Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.097159 0.105033 0.113418 0.123038 0.133807 0.145532 0.159318
2024-10-13 0.081942 0.092377 0.104152 0.118530 0.135760 0.155930 0.181612
2024-10-20 0.072230 0.083794 0.097377 0.114715 0.136554 0.163567 0.200183
2024-10-27 0.065377 0.077517 0.092227 0.111669 0.137162 0.170160 0.217333
2024-11-03 0.063267 0.076641 0.093350 0.116223 0.147483 0.189926 0.254208
2024-11-10 0.061964 0.076541 0.095274 0.121774 0.159447 0.213042 0.299062
2024-11-17 0.058935 0.073896 0.093545 0.122065 0.163907 0.225739 0.329915
2024-11-24 0.055546 0.070501 0.090495 0.120142 0.164804 0.232988 0.352862
2024-12-01 0.052362 0.067164 0.087261 0.117624 0.164452 0.238072 0.372670
2024-12-08 0.049174 0.063627 0.083507 0.114017 0.162020 0.239420 0.385868
2024-12-15 0.047210 0.061683 0.081880 0.113433 0.164221 0.248538 0.414655
2024-12-22 0.045071 0.059373 0.079575 0.111618 0.164217 0.253795 0.436736
2024-12-29 0.043722 0.058246 0.079109 0.112905 0.169931 0.270644 0.487397
2025-01-05 0.041169 0.055260 0.075732 0.109373 0.167225 0.272027 0.506191
2025-01-12 0.038877 0.052545 0.072612 0.106026 0.164515 0.273051 0.524464
2025-01-19 0.036924 0.050241 0.069988 0.103300 0.162638 0.275412 0.546370
2025-01-26 0.036722 0.050544 0.071403 0.107394 0.173510 0.304683 0.641799
2025-02-02 0.036706 0.051118 0.073261 0.112373 0.186595 0.340813 0.768033
2025-02-09 0.035687 0.050085 0.072470 0.112635 0.190547 0.357680 0.846087
2025-02-16 0.034339 0.048474 0.070648 0.110911 0.190344 0.365020 0.897665
2025-02-23 0.032973 0.046780 0.068607 0.108652 0.188829 0.369056 0.940137
2025-03-02 0.031504 0.044866 0.066116 0.105413 0.184996 0.366976 0.961442
2025-03-09 0.030626 0.043869 0.065117 0.104888 0.186850 0.379300 1.038891